Will there be another lockdown illinois11/18/2023 “I might say something like, it looks like the beginning of the end, at least in the UK and most of Europe and in the US”, he told The Telegraph on Thursday. Prof Francois Balloux, the director of the University College London Genetics Institute and a professor of computational biology, is quick to say he is not “doing a Lilico” and declaring the crisis over, but admits to being “overall, quite optimistic”. Who knows, Tyrolean “beer pong” may yet become a thing again. February half-term will witness a return of Britons to the Alps, where bookings are already hard to come by. There will be turkey and goose aplenty due to the brimming good health of farmers and triple jabbed HGV drivers. On this view, Christmas will once again be a jolly affair with all the relatives in attendance. Herd immunity has been reached and another “extended period” of hospitalisations and deaths is “no longer possible”. The most vocal proponents of this view, including the economist Andrew Lilico, believe that “in England at least, the coronavirus epidemic is now de facto at an end”. This continues even as more and more people venture back to work and average daily contacts more than double to return to their pre-pandemic levels. The considerable immunity built up in the population through natural infection and vaccination - already upwards of 90 per cent - will be topped up by the one-in-70 who currently have the virus, the vaccination of children aged 12 to 15 and booster shots for the over-50s.Īll those antibodies push R below one and cause the incidence of the virus to start shrinking exponentially, reducing hospital admissions and taking the strain off the NHS. In the best-case scenario, things continue pretty much as they are today, with everything open and people - slowly but surely - returning to life as normal. Here are their thoughts on the months ahead - the good, the bad and the ugly. We spoke to many of the country’s leading experts. On Saturday, the former prime minister Tony Blair has called on the Government to introduce vaccine passports now or "risk further lockdowns. So how might things pan out in practice over the next six to nine months? When push comes to shove, “the Government remains committed to taking whatever action is necessary to protect the NHS from being overwhelmed”. Ministers believe Plans A and B will be “sufficient to reverse a resurgence in autumn or winter”, but add that “the nature of the virus means it is not possible to give guarantees”. There is no official Plan C but it is, of course, another lockdown, or what the new plan refers to as “more harmful economic and social restrictions” only to be considered “as a last resort”. “In a Plan B scenario, the Government would issue clear guidance and communications to the public and businesses, setting out the steps they should take to manage the increased risks of the virus,” says the document. This would involve mask mandates, vaccine passports and the nation getting what amounts to a stiff talking to. Should that not prove adequate, Plan B would then be instigated “hard and early”. Plan A relies on vaccines and booster shots to hold the virus at bay. On Wednesday, the Prime Minister set out a two-part “Autumn and Winter Plan”. 31, according to IDPH records.Perhaps it betrays the UK’s approach to fighting Covid-19, but the only real question we Britons are asking at the moment is this: will there be another lockdown this winter? No region has seen a decrease in those rates since at least Oct. COVID-19 patients take up 25.4% of all ICU beds in the state.ĭespite the mitigation restrictions placed in every region of the state currently, each of the state's 11 regions saw average test positivity rates grow again. Of those hospitalized, 956 COVID-19 patients are being treated in intensive care units. "I am telling you, that number is only going to increase based on the number of cases we have identified for the past several weeks." Hospitals across the state are reporting 5,258 people are being treated for the virus. The state's seven-day average infection rate of 12.6% was a slight increase from the previous day's. That brings the state's death toll from the respiratory disease to 10,477, with 536,542 residents who have tested positive, according to Illinois Department of Public Health records. The governor's warning came as the state recorded 43 more COVID-19 deaths Thursday, while another 12,702 infections were diagnosed. "When this is over, there will be an accounting by your constituents of who worked to keep the public safe and who just ignored the science." "More people will get sick, more people will struggle to breathe and more people will die because you failed to do your job," he said.
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